DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS OF THE NEW SILK ROAD PASSAGE ZONE

Introduction: This study is devoted to the creation of indices for the analysis of the demographic characteristics of the countries and regions of the New Silk Road zone. As part of the study, we updated a statistical database containing demographic indicators of this zone, then for the purpose of comparative analysis of current trends in the demographic development of this territory, three sets of indicators were formed that characterize the demographic state of the regions, as well as calculated demographic development indices for different sets of indicators. Finally, with the help of geographic information (GIS) technologies, we developed a series of maps that characterize the demographic situation and its dynamics. Regional features and differences in the demographic development of the New Silk Road passage zone were identified. Materials and research methods: Within the framework of the socio-demographic characteristics of the «One Belt - One Road» zone, a statistical database was created, which included materials on the birth rate, mortality per 1000 population, natural growth (loss) and migration growth (loss) in the corridor of the New Silk Road, which included the territory of 8 countries and 145 of their regions . Statistics were collected for three years-2010, 2015, 2018. The study was based on the official statistics of the Eurasian countries [4,5]. Then this set of indicators was aggregated into the corresponding socio-demographic index using the evaluation algorithm developed earlier by V. S. Tikunov [1997]. The result of this stage was a table of demographic indicators adapted to work in GIS. As one of the basic techniques for creating cartographic images, I use the cartogram method with a stepless scale. Then, the map images were exported directly to the graphic editor, and further work on the image design was carried out there. The results of the study and their discussion: as a result of the conducted research, statistical material was collected and a database was created to assess the demographic situation in the countries of the New Silk Road and their regions. At the same time, the work clearly illustrated the analysis of the interaction of indicators of natural and migration growth in the formation of the demographic situation of the New Silk Road countries and their regions. In general, the work showed the effectiveness of using this algorithm and various scenarios for constructing demographic indices for the purpose of their subsequent analysis.

demography, New Silk Road, demographic development, index, classification, GIS

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